more sophisticated econometric techniques

German translation: verfeinerte ökonometrische Verfahren

14:19 Nov 11, 2019

English to German translations [PRO]
Bus/Financial - Investment / Securities

English term or phrase: more sophisticated econometric techniques

Simple correlation analysis, shown in Fig. 3, shows that when the central bank owns close to 0% of sovereign debt, the correlation between the yield curve and recession four quarters ahead is -0.5. On the other hand, when the central bank owns close to 10% of government debt, the correlation between the yield curve and recession four quarters ahead is close to zero. These simple correlation results, showing that an inverted yield curve loses predictive power for recessions when the central bank owns around 10% of government debt, also emerge when we apply ***more sophisticated econometric techniques***.

Bisherige Übersetzung:
Eine einfache Korrelationsanalyse (Abbildung 3) zeigt, dass die Korrelation zwischen der Zinskurve und einer Rezession in den nächsten vier Quartalen -0,5 beträgt. wenn die Zentralbank so gut wie keine Staatsschulden in ihrer Bilanz führt.
Wenn die Zentralbank hingegen knapp 10% aller Staatsschulden besitzt, beträgt die Korrelation zwischen der Zinskurve und einer Rezession in den nächsten vier Quartalen hingegen praktisch 0.
Diese einfachen Korrelationsergebnisse, die aufzeigen, dass eine inverse Renditekurve kein Vorbote einer Rezession ist, wenn die Zentralbank rund 10% der Staatsanleihen besitzt, werden auch durch ***ausgefeiltere ökonometrische Verfahren*** bestätigt.

Aber das klingt total krumm. Bessere Ideen?

Andrea Hauer KudoZ activity Questions: 2810 (10 open) (188 closed without grading) Answers: 2026 Germany
Local time: 19:40

German translation:verfeinerte ökonometrische Verfahren

Explanation:
Aus einem Buch über Geld- und Wirtschaftpolitik. Siehe Link, Seite 140 (5).

Selected response from:

Haigo Salow
United States
Local time: 10:40

Grading comment

Thanks :-)
4 KudoZ points were awarded for this answer

Summary of answers provided

4 +1

verfeinerte ökonometrische Verfahren

Haigo Salow

(komplexe) Analysemethoden

Wolfgang Hummel

Discussion entries: 2

Answers

8 mins confidence:

(komplexe) Analysemethoden

Explanation:
Wäre eine Alternative.

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Note added at 11 mins (2019-11-11 14:30:24 GMT)
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Vielleicht auch: komplexe wirtschaftstheoretische Modelle

Wolfgang Hummel
Spain
Local time: 19:40
Specializes in field
Native speaker of:

German
PRO pts in category: 58

14 hrs confidence:

peer agreement (net): +1

verfeinerte ökonometrische Verfahren

Explanation:
Aus einem Buch über Geld- und Wirtschaftpolitik. Siehe Link, Seite 140 (5).

https://books.google.com/books?id=HmO5cprAdMkC&pg=PA140&lpg=PA140&dq=verfeinerte+%C3%B6konometrische+Verfahren&source=bl&ots=uXu6yidh53&sig=

Haigo Salow
United States
Local time: 10:40
Works in field
Native speaker of:

German
PRO pts in category: 12

Grading comment

Thanks :-)

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